mckinsey insurance report 2020


hereLearn more about cookies, Opens in new 1. Flip the odds. Global Economic And Insurance Market Outlook 2020/2021 (sigma 6/2019)Dr.Jérôme Haegeli, Group Chief Economist Dr.Thomas Holzheu, Chief Economist Americas London, November 13 20191. advisory committee reviewing its proposed reformulation of OxyContin to make it less prone to abuse. Pursuing one of these archetypes could profoundly transform the organization. Similarly, embedding services into the offering will become more important for carriers to provide value to clients beyond the core underwriting function. This dynamic will further increase the gap between winners and laggards in subsequent years. Rather than artificially suppressing risk-based rates, governments and insurers will need stronger public–private partnerships (PPPs), including government insurance voucher programs to address affordability issues. Our flagship business publication has been defining and informing the senior-management agenda since 1964. Indeed, one carrier alone cannot absorb the first-mover cost as the pace of data, technology, training, and customer expectations continues to evolve rapidly. Given P&C’s focus on risk management and financial protection, one might expect the industry to reinvent itself more profoundly to meet the shifting demand and to move the insurability frontier forward. Moreover, the fast-changing risk landscape is creating many new and evolving risks—cyber, climate change, pandemic, intangible assets—that remain underinsured, while others have slowly been transferred to governments to handle. In the face of current and emerging advances in fintech and digital distribution, the P&C industry’s existing operating model faces challenges and risks losing economic relevance. Overall, P&C growth written premiums (GWP) over GDP decreased globally by 2 percent from 2008 to 2018. Sorry, we couldn't find any results. The evolution of natural disasters and changing climate calls for increasingly sophisticated catastrophe models and pricing approaches. Most transformations fail. That said, insurance market shapers (those in the top quintile) have already made bold moves in recent years that helped them create significantly more economic value than their peers: on average, these insurers have created more than $750 million in economic profit—nearly twentyfold the industry average. Our market analysis reveals that today, insurers can spend a multiple in distribution costs as their products generate in profit; in the United Kingdom, for instance, P&C insurers spend three times more in distribution (as percentage of their total revenues) than what they generate in profits; by comparison, the mortgage industry spends half in distribution what it generates in profit. collaboration with select social media and trusted analytics partners McKinsey found that overall the … The 2020 report is the third installment in McKinsey’s series of research that has been aimed at examining the business case for diversity in executive positions. The insurance industry is often perceived as complicated and slow moving. It plays a critical role in today’s economies, offering financial protection and risk mitigation to individuals, small businesses, large corporations, nonprofit organizations, and even governments. Use minimal essential tab, Engineering, Construction & Building Materials, McKinsey Institute for Black Economic Mobility. Learn about hereLearn more about cookies, Opens in new As a notable achievement in the financial-services world, the insurance industry has grown economically stronger in the past two decades after sustaining $45 billion (2020 prices) in insured losses from the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001—then the costliest event in the history of insurance globally. cookies. Please click "Accept" to help us improve its usefulness with additional cookies. The demand for innovation to drive simultaneous improvement in health outcomes, affordability, quality, and access will continue to be high. As this report goes to press, we wanted to share our initial assessment of the likely impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the industry. However, it also presents substantial opportunities for P&C insurers that can innovate, serve clients more comprehensively, and capture value across an increasingly sophisticated traditional value chain that is being reshaped by factors such as B2B2C, alternative capital, and direct sales. As risk experts, insurers and reinsurers can help shape the insurability of known and emerging risks. McK Insurance 2020 P+C Exhibit 1 of 1 (Executive summary) Six forces will shape the industry in the years ahead. 29, 2020) – The insurance industry is often perceived as complicated... Read more » Our mission is to help leaders in multiple sectors develop a deeper understanding of the global economy. Developed countries still dominate by total gross premiums written (80 percent). Taken altogether, they indicate that if P&C is to significantly increase its relevance over the next decade, carriers must be prepared to reinvent themselves across the value chain. We anticipate that the gap between carriers that act swiftly and deftly and those that do not will increase: the former has proportionally more to invest in deploying new capabilities, as they capture most of the industry profits. Practical resources to help leaders navigate to the next normal: guides, tools, checklists, interviews and more. Industry growth relative to GDP is flat or even negative in several developed markets, valuations in the sector are often lower compared with adjacent financial-services sectors such as banking and asset management, and new talent acquisition isn’t prioritized, despite more than one-quarter of its most experienced professionals soon retiring in key geographies. Overall, P&C growth written premiums (GWP) over GDP decreased globally by 2 percent from 2008 to 2018. Our flagship business publication has been defining and informing the senior-management agenda since 1964. We analyze what market shapers have done differently as a source of inspiration for CEOs. McKinsey conducted the … The cumulative losses that the industry might sustain are not yet clear; to date, losses have been concentrated in travel and event cancellation. These impacts on … The biggest unknown factor is how the industry resolves coverage for business interruption. And CEOs should be prepared to address how climate change may affect their organization and how they plan on reducing the downside and capturing the upside. Now is an exciting moment for the industry, but leaders must act with speed and conviction. Select topics and stay current with our latest insights. Healthcare is an essential, dynamic, and opportunity-rich industry. But this resilience will be tested in the years to come through the changing severity and frequency of disasters coupled with limited flexibility to balance market-driven price responses in the changing risk level, continued low interest rates, and changes to the traditional business model. Flip the odds. A shift to solutions and service as well as the growth of ecosystems is reshaping distribution. At the same time, the share of purely offline customers is expected to decrease from six out of ten in 2012 to just over two out of ten in 2024 (Exhibit 3). If you would like information about this content we will be happy to work with you. talent strategy is key to leading in this new context. And in the past few years, natural disasters have led insurers and reinsurers to pay hundreds of billions of dollars in claim… While the impact will differ significantly on a line-by-line basis, we expect some decline in premium revenue as a result of the expected economic downturn. Six market-shaping forces are the key to its reinvention. Digital upends old models. Most transformations fail. Emerging markets once again will likely lead the way while advanced markets continue to struggle (figure 2). Lastly, the COVID-19 crisis highlights the potential for public–private partnerships. McKinsey Report, The State of AI in 2020 Cybersecurity is the only risk that most leaders responding to the survey say their organizations consider relevant. To stay competitive, carriers will need to radically transform their operating models and cost structures. Reinvent your business. Our detailed analysis of over 30 key STEEP drivers has enabled us to determine a range of possible macro-scenarios that the insurance industry faces. SOURCE: McKinsey Potential along the audit process Direct Indirect Total caseload Algorithm selects the most promising cases for intervention – auditing and intervention by … Please try again later. As insurance purchases become less à la carte and more integrated into customer buying and experience journeys, business as usual may no longer suffice. Press enter to select and open the results on a new page. By Sylvain Johansson, Andy Luo, Erwann Michel-Kerjan, and Leda Zaharieva → Read the whole report Chicago, IL (Apr. World Insurance Report 2020 As digital adoption is now mainstream across generations and willingness to purchase insurance from BigTechs is increasing, the World Insurance Report 2020 from Capgemini and Efma explores the changing trust equation between insurers and customers, and how insurance companies can use hyper-personalization to address it. The evolving market structure and six shaping forces present a range of opportunities for P&C insurers that are prepared to respond with bold moves, execute them extremely well, and do so consistently. Reimagine insurance: Five keys to innovation. Insurers must also be proactive in setting (perhaps even shaping) a clear agenda on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues. We use cookies essential for this site to function well. This will be a true test of the relevance and resilience of the industry. And while insurance as an industry may be slow to change, its risk environment is not. For more, see the P&C memo by the same authors, “Coronavirus response: Short- and long-term actions for P&C insurers.”. Life insurance premiums may decline 6% globally through the end of 2020 and by 8% in advanced economies, while a recovery of 3% growth is projected overall for 2021. On the one hand, some geographies are winning over others, and leading CEOs are inspiring their organization to be true market shapers (those in the top quintile by measure of economic profit) by making the necessary bold moves and executing them relentlessly. Psychological safety and the critical role of leadership development, The COVID-19 recovery will be digital: A plan for the first 90 days. Digital upends old models. Despite this M&A activity, which we expect to continue for the next five years, the industry remains fragmented. At the very least, an opt-out option rather than the current opt-in would significantly increase insurance penetration, as behavioral science has shown. Sylvain Johansson is a senior partner in McKinsey’s Geneva office, Andy Luo is an associate partner in the Chicago office, Erwann Michel-Kerjan is a partner in the Philadelphia office, and Leda Zaharieva is an associate partner in the London office. Last, in distribution, intermediaries have significantly increased their clout, especially given the consolidation of global alpha brokers in commercial lines that generated significant value to their shareholders in the past decade. CEOs, working with the board, have a unique role to play in this context: they must decide what kind of organization they will steward and lead in the next five years, which clients they will serve and focus on, and how they will do so with distinction and relevance. Learn more about cookies, Opens in new Subscribed to {PRACTICE_NAME} email alerts. Some developing markets are poised to surpass developed markets by measure of growth, the M&A space is active, and distribution is under attack. Today’s vertically integrated business model is fracturing as reinsurers connect with distribution, primary carriers build direct distribution models, and brokers move into underwriting. In addition, the crisis poses challenges to industry operating models and may act as a catalyst for changes in them across the entire value chain. Insurance executives must understand the factors that will contribute to this change and how AI will reshape claims, distribution, and underwriting and pricing. We'll email you when new articles are published on this topic. In ecosystem-oriented models, successful carriers will also need to become better at getting value from the enormous pool of data they have (or can get) access to in order to stay relevant. We expect the fast growth in the developing Asia–Pacific market to possibly surpass Western Europe this decade as the world’s second-largest P&C market. More generally, insurers and governments need to work together to improve risk awareness and financial protection. This is an even more pressing CEO agenda in the current COVID-19 crisis environment and will continue to be in its aftermath. The report found the congressman's campaign paid Palazzo's LLC $60,000 in rent for the property, as well as another $22,000 in expenditures for things like landscaping and utilities. Thus, P&C industry market shapers will have to win on that front. We estimate that more than 30 percent of personal lines P&C premiums will be distributed through ecosystem models by 2030. Use minimal essential And finally, our analysis shows how P&C carriers can find a path to higher profitability and sustainable growth once again. A research piece from McKinsey & Co has emphasised that product innovation should be a core focus point for insurers based in Asia The current struggle for innovation is made apparent by the report’s findings that 82% of executives consider product development a “core competency”, yet only 12% are equipped with processes that yield such results. On the other hand, a number of insurers have created limited economic value, if any at all. Subscribed to {PRACTICE_NAME} email alerts. To gain a detailed view of the reasons for success beyond decisions on where to operate, we assessed more than 200 insurers around the world. Some carriers are flourishing in this landscape. Insurers could also add more value to services. We use cookies essential for this site to function well. Penetration in their advanced counterparts was 8.3%.7 As a whole, property and casualty (P&C) insurance represents $1.6 trillion in premiums (about one-third of the insurance industry) and remains one of the few industries that has yet to be disrupted. While digital sales is 2 percent, the underlying digital in- fluence is 12 percent (10 percent for motor; 12 percent for life; 14 percent for health and 19 percent for travel) and the digital foot- print is 31 percent for insurance. Please click "Accept" to help us improve its usefulness with additional cookies. Carriers will need to take a close look at their relationship with end customers in the context of purchasing journeys (for instance, buying a car, going on vacation, buying a home) and decide how to embed solutions and services alongside insurance coverages. Despite these claims payments, the most recent natural disasters have been earning events for insurers, not solvency ones—perhaps a testament to the industry’s resilience. The four trends that define insurance in 2020 The insurance industry stands on the precipice of profound change. And this disruption is not just digital. Please use UP and DOWN arrow keys to review autocomplete results. But when the market can no longer be that signal, as we’ve seen in several geographies, then it creates a false sense of safety. Multi-access customers are the fastest-growing insurance segment in recent years—in 2019, every second customer was multi-access. In addition, the global P&C industry has seen robust levels of M&A activity. We strive to provide individuals with disabilities equal access to our website. Interestingly, carriers that have made the most progress in creating economic profit have pursued five bold moves: We also analyzed six forces that will shape the industry in the years ahead, each with significant implications for insurers (exhibit). Vaccine development, however, is on pace for a surprising milestone. However, Western European markets, and to some extent the US market, grew slower than GDP, while developing markets in Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa not only grew much faster (at annual growth rates of 11 to 16 percent from 2012 to 2018) but also achieved higher profitability. Unleash their potential. We examine key market structure elements, including growth and profitability, M&A, and distribution. McKinsey prepped Purdue executives for a vital meeting before an F.D.A. While the insurance industry has become more resilient financially, it has also let a significant portion of risk go uninsured. This report paints a nuanced picture and provides a call to action. December 14, 2020 – We examined the performance of 46 insurers around the globe to identify the behaviors that the outperformers share. Unleash their potential. People create and sustain change. their value propositions and rethink their operating models. Sometimes being a low-cost provider will be the winning model, while in other situations providing the best customer experience will be the differentiator. We'll email you when new articles are published on this topic. Because pandemics affect so many people and businesses at the same time, they are typically considered uninsurable by the market alone. The increased occurrence of extreme threats (whether relating to climate or terror), the proliferation of technology and innovation, and the growth of ecosystems, for example, all provide ample opportunity—and risk—for insurers. The pandemic has created significant challenges for insurers and sped their digital shift. Furthermore, new models such as ecosystems threaten to further divide the industry. This figure falls short of the $500 million to $2 billion generated by industries in the top quintile of our global distribution, such as beverages, automobiles, pharmaceuticals, technology, and biotech. Economic Environment “Global collaboration with select social media and trusted analytics partners Frost & Sullivan’s new September 28, 2020 report, The Reshaping of Industries Caused by COVID-19, identifies nine global trends that will emerge as a … This is true even with the personal lines market undergoing consolidation: a few auto insurers in large markets have led the charge as digital attackers and have captured a growing portion of a customer base with changing expectations. Increasing the relevance of insurance in this new risk landscape will likely require carriers to reimagine new ways to collaborate and cocreate with governments and other stakeholders. Helping US healthcare stakeholders understand the human side of the COVID-19 crisis: McKinsey Consumer Healthcare Insights Article Understanding the impact of unmet social needs on consumer health and healthcare Practical resources to help leaders navigate to the next normal: guides, tools, checklists, interviews and more. Something went wrong. Although teachers around the world have different styles and standards for learning, there is one thing on which they seem to agree: a computer is no match for a classroom as a place for kids to learn. The report is based on a survey of 200 CEOs, CFOs, CRO and CTOs in the EMEA region. 8 For a mature industry, it now faces a rapidly changing risk landscape caused by factors such as intangible assets, man-made emerging risks, changing climate patterns combined with growing exposure in high-risk areas, pandemics, the growth of the cyber world, changing customer expectations, and the use of advanced analytics tools, among others. Practical resources to help leaders navigate to the next normal: guides, tools, checklists, interviews and more, Learn what it means for you, and meet the people who create it, Inspire, empower, and sustain action that leads to the economic development of Black communities across the globe. tab. In the future, increasing the value transfer of cheaper distribution to the customers will be key. In high-risk areas, insurance may need to become mandatory, as it is in several countries, to significantly increase financial protection. Please use UP and DOWN arrow keys to review autocomplete results. October 8, 2020 | Article. Public–private collaboration can clarify what is insurable and not, by whom and under which conditions, and who will pay for future losses. McKinsey Insights - Get our latest thinking on your iPhone, iPad, or Android device. The industry must reinvent itself. Our power curve analysis found that from 2013 to 2017, the industry generated an average of $37 million in economic profit per company (generally accepted accounting principles view). Uninsured natural catastrophes are creating new market opportunities. Our mission is to help leaders in multiple sectors develop a deeper understanding of the global economy. A report by management consulting company McKinsey & Company reveals that there is hope for the African insurance industry, valuing it at $68 billion.